Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 302.988621 343.771328 389.376576 444.408901 509.353239 583.967460 676.770291
2025-02-09 242.390152 295.330588 360.063149 446.054283 558.828965 703.887461 908.232538
2025-02-16 204.524548 260.393918 332.636846 434.740145 578.388605 778.105534 1085.717416
2025-02-23 178.815758 235.590181 312.305566 426.264878 596.120012 848.277527 1268.004164
2025-03-02 164.981491 224.150262 307.353193 436.758842 640.400753 962.412238 1541.228491
2025-03-09 151.002960 210.435384 296.829858 436.521375 666.870262 1051.889798 1793.677181
2025-03-16 137.301835 195.425699 282.298938 427.470271 676.690610 1114.024351 2010.782783
2025-03-23 128.049629 186.003273 274.987072 428.570666 703.008246 1208.901400 2315.388129
2025-03-30 117.959175 174.259998 262.668489 419.471959 709.407163 1267.185862 2558.974886
2025-04-06 110.611150 166.133484 255.272802 417.723558 728.640537 1353.521782 2889.933403
2025-04-13 100.830186 153.271076 238.831743 397.899136 710.228318 1358.922862 3028.670212
2025-04-20 98.422378 152.271181 242.244187 414.551889 766.160733 1534.031708 3656.957498
2025-04-27 96.909148 152.779782 248.547879 437.962925 841.234228 1772.972585 4570.295769
2025-05-04 92.066600 147.210450 243.572735 438.903285 868.617044 1906.374989 5236.212420
2025-05-11 86.051233 139.120575 233.272111 427.868358 867.326458 1967.381652 5696.974037
2025-05-18 80.966558 132.315285 224.771212 419.552778 871.013626 2042.598815 6245.390425
2025-05-25 78.653665 130.315030 225.116332 429.843259 920.758511 2257.129086 7433.000285
2025-06-01 75.269938 126.104362 220.838341 429.610381 944.515026 2403.689285 8441.361942
2025-06-08 71.193124 120.335559 213.051726 420.735190 944.782053 2479.720880 9193.101188
2025-06-15 68.506428 117.001759 209.830972 421.814245 971.471523 2646.913536 10493.962344
2025-06-22 64.993618 111.877424 202.613740 412.891615 969.682273 2720.470538 11380.097562
2025-06-29 62.444500 108.456280 198.631149 411.176950 987.819192 2868.352499 12797.435939
2025-07-06 58.389286 101.885577 187.689908 391.732740 952.431046 2816.726175 13013.845853